The live table and the model's projected finish from here — expected final points and each club's probability of landing in each band.
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 7 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Ipswich Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Newcastle United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 5 |
| 11 | Leeds United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 12 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AFC Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
| Team | E[Pts] | 5–95% | Title | UCL | UEL | UECL | Releg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 82.5 | 70–94 | |||||
| 2 | Manchester City | 79.1 | 65–93 | |||||
| 3 | Chelsea | 63.2 | 46–80 | |||||
| 4 | Liverpool | 62.2 | 49–76 | |||||
| 5 | Manchester United | 59.6 | 47–72 | |||||
| 6 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 58.9 | 45–73 | |||||
| 7 | Newcastle United | 56.7 | 43–71 | |||||
| 8 | Brentford | 54.8 | 42–68 | |||||
| 9 | Everton | 52.5 | 40–65 | |||||
| 10 | Leeds United | 52.4 | 39–66 | |||||
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 50.9 | 38–64 | |||||
| 12 | Tottenham Hotspur | 49.2 | 34–65 | |||||
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth | 48.3 | 36–61 | |||||
| 14 | Aston Villa | 45.9 | 31–61 | |||||
| 15 | Hull City | 42.8 | 29–57 | |||||
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 41.4 | 29–54 | |||||
| 17 | Sunderland | 41.0 | 29–53 | |||||
| 18 | Fulham | 38.3 | 26–51 | |||||
| 19 | Ipswich Town | 36.5 | 24–51 | |||||
| 20 | Coventry City | 26.7 | 14–40 |