The live table and the model's projected finish from here — expected final points and each club's probability of landing in each band.
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 7 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | +0 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
| Team | E[Pts] | 5–95% | Title | UCL | UEL | UECL | Releg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 83.0 | 72–94 | |||||
| 2 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 75.7 | 64–87 | |||||
| 3 | Manchester City | 72.2 | 60–84 | |||||
| 4 | Liverpool | 65.4 | 54–77 | |||||
| 5 | Chelsea | 60.6 | 47–74 | |||||
| 6 | Brentford | 56.8 | 46–68 | |||||
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 55.6 | 45–67 | |||||
| 8 | Aston Villa | 54.8 | 42–67 | |||||
| 9 | Tottenham Hotspur | 53.8 | 41–66 | |||||
| 10 | Leeds United | 53.1 | 42–64 | |||||
| 11 | Everton | 51.2 | 40–62 | |||||
| 12 | Manchester United | 46.6 | 35–58 | |||||
| 13 | Newcastle United | 44.9 | 33–57 | |||||
| 14 | Nottingham Forest | 43.6 | 32–55 | |||||
| 15 | Fulham | 41.6 | 31–53 | |||||
| 16 | Sunderland | 39.2 | 29–50 | |||||
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 38.4 | 28–50 | |||||
| 18 | Ipswich Town | 37.9 | 27–50 | |||||
| 19 | Hull City | 35.7 | 25–47 | |||||
| 20 | Coventry City | 34.3 | 24–46 |